Friday, September 12, 2008

Big Willy Style's Football Friday

COLLEGE FOOTBALL

4* Georgia (-7.5) over South Carolina - I've tried talking myself out of this one all week because it could be a classic trap game, but after much debate there is no way Georgia screws this one up in South Carolina. The Bulldogs have an obscene amount of talent as everyone knows and South Carolina shouldn’t belong on the same field as them. Yes the gamecocks romped NC state, but scored all their points off of turnovers, and not to mention NC state belongs in the FCS. Then they go ahead and lose to SEC doormat Vanderbilt. I cannot see the old ball coach's offense scoring any more that 10-14 points in this game at max against Georgia's stout defense. I don't care about the dangers of laying chalk on the road in the SEC, these teams just don’t compare to each other. Go Dawgs!

3* Baylor (-3.5) over Washington St. - The cougars are the worst BCS conference team in the country. They have proven to be pathetic on both sides of the ball, and have lost their first two games by a combined score of 105-16. I love Baylor QB Robert Griffin running the option up and down the cougar defense all night long with ease and the defense should have no problem shutting down a wazzou offense that is ranked last in passing in the country.

3* Oregon (-8) over Purdue - The ducks have way too much firepower for Purdue to handle, even at their home field. Look for them to pull away in the 2nd half after a high scoring first half. The Oregon defense is also very underrated as well and should be able to slow down Curtis Painter and his offense just enough to come out of West Lafayette with an easy double digit victory.

2* Kansas (+3.5) over South Florida - In a rare Friday night ESPN game that pits two top 25 teams, we'll take the Jayhawks to go into Raymond James Stadium to pull off the upset. The Bulls offense is too inconsistent, and almost gave one away last week to central florida late. Kansas is loaded with talent on both sides of the ball, and their defense has allowed 10 points combined in two games (yes it has been against two mid-majors, but impressive nonetheless). I look for a high scoring game with Todd Reesing's high powered offense pulling away late. Rock Chalk Jayhawk KKKKKUUUUUUUU.

2* Fresno St (+2) over Wisconsin - A rare home national TV game for Fresno in primetime against a BCS opponent spells the definition of home field advantage for the bulldogs on Saturday night. Tom Brandstader leads an explosive offense against a Wisconsin team that got off to a shaky start last week against Marshall, and have traditionally struggled on the road. I see Fresno getting off to a blazing start in this one riding the emotional tidal wave that will be too much for the Badgers to overcome. Pat Hill's squad has had two weeks to prepare for this one and what better time to show off his "anywhere anytime" motto. The bulldoggies roll at home.


PRO FOOTBALL

5* Colts (-2) over Vikings - May be a surprise to people that I'm going back to the Colts after they dicked me over last week, but which QB in this game has a better shot at avoiding an 0-2 start after a disappointing week 1. I thought so. The Colts are at their best when their backs are against the wall, as they certainly are this week staring an 0-2 start in the face. Tony Dungy's defense will force the Vikings to be one dimensional on offense, the key to winning football games in the NFL. If they make Tavaris Jackson beat them with his trash right arm, the Vikes have no shot. Take the Colts to bounce back on Sunday.

5* Panthers (-3) over Bears - The Panthers probably pulled off the most impressive upset of week 1 stunning San Diego on the road on a rare walk-off TD in regulation. Now they come into their home opener riding high with momentum playing a Bears team that just caught the Colts still in preseason mode last Sunday night. I don't forsee the Bears rushing attack with Matt Forte having the same success against Carolina, a defense that held the leagues best back in Ladanian Tomlinson down under 100 yards last week. The Panthers are a completely different team with Jake Delhomme under center. Also, winning back to back road games (as the bears are attempting to do) is brutally difficult in the NFL when your team name is not the New York Giants. Panthers take this one down.

3* Falcons (+7) over Bucs - Don't understand why this line is so big. Divisional game, Falcons looked great, bucs looked average and are now missing their starting QB. When your QB is Brian Griese with a mediocre offense to begin with you have issues. Besides, now Matt Ryan is leading a revamped offense all of a sudden, and the defense actually played tough and physical as well last week, matching up perfectly with Tampa Bay. I think Atlanta has a great shot of winning this game and moving to 2-0.

2* Saints (-1) over Redskins - The redskins are an absolute joke on offense right now. They can't run it, cant throw it, cant protect. The saints defense pressured Jeff Garcia all day last week, and look for more of the same on Jason Campbell on Sunday, which will force him into bad decisions and turnovers. Drew Brees still has more than enough weapons at his disposable even without #1 WR Marques Colston, which will prove the difference as the Saints move to 2-0 after this one.

2* Eagles (+6.5) over Cowboys - This is the game of the week in the NFL on Monday night. Two explosive teams coming off convincing victories last week. I think this line is inflated because everyone sucks off the Cowboys for some reason, a franchise that hasn’t won a playoff game in 12 years. The Eagles have enough guns this year to stand toe to toe with the boys, and it goes into my betting theory of ALWAYS taking the points in a divisional Monday night football game, always. As a giants fan I'm rooting for a tie, giving the eagles an easy cover.

College Football YTD (6-4) +8 units
Pro Football YTD (2-3) -4.9 units
Pending: Bears (1-0) under 7.5 wins (5 units) and Titans (1-0) over 8 wins (2 units)

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