Friday, September 26, 2008

Beans' Weekly Winners: Week 5

Navy at Wake Forest (-16), 3:45pm
As Yogi said, "it's deja vu all over again". Taking Wake Forest and fading Navy. We're going to keep pushing the anti-Navy play, as much as some people (you know who you are) disagree with the strategy. We all know how Navy gets it done -- on the ground. The Demon Deacons will surely welcome the Middie's one-dimentionalness (is that a word? it is now) being that Wake only allows 3.2 yards per carry and just around 100 yards per game rushing. Wake Forest QB Riley Skinner isn't flashy and won't steal any Heisman votes from Chase Daniel and company, but the kid knows how to win games. But the biggest factor at play here is the Navy defense. We all saw how Mike Teel made them look like the '85 Bears, but in reality they're closer to the '81 Colts (look it up). Skinner picks apart the Navy defense in a 20+ point blowout.

Tennessee at Auburn (-6.5), 3:30pm
Yep, another familiar face. Tennessee was pathetic last week. Florida took it to them in their own backyard. Phil Fulmer looked like a man who is losing more than football games. His body language has been off-the-charts bad, approaching something out of the Manning family's playbook. If you told us his wife was cheating on him, his son recently came out of the closet and his 14-year old daughter got knocked up by the local gas station attendant -- all at the same time -- we'd believe it in a heartbeat. There is no way a team led by this coach can compete with a really good Auburn team on the road. Auburn took a major step forward last week even in defeat. The new offense is starting to come together for a program who has beaten the Vols three straight years. The Tigers take down Tennessee for the fourth straight season, in convincing fashion.

Alabama at Georgia (-7), 7:45pm
For the second straight week we're taking the marquee SEC game. Has Georgia impressed anybody yet? A win is a win, but at some point they're going to need to put it all together and look like the national championship contender that "experts" tout them to be. This could be that week. Nick Saban has brought Alabama back to the front of the national picture more quickly than anyone could have imagined, but they are just too green to tackle the daunting task of going on the road to beat a veteran Georgia club. The ATS trends are impressively in Georgia's favor. The Dawgs are 6-0 ATS in their past six against teams with a winning record, 4-0 ATS in their last four home games and 6-0-1 ATS in their past seven games overall. Saban and the Tide are almost there, but they're still a year away. Georgia RB, and New Jersey native, Knowshon Moreno has been able to avoid the dreaded sophomore slump thus far in 2008, he will lead the Bulldogs to a two touchdown win Between the Hedges against this young Tide squad.

South Florida (-9.5) at North Carolina State, 7:30pm
NC State is coming off of a big win against a previously unbeaten in-state rival. That spells hangover. The biggest issue for the Wolfpack is that QB Russell Wilson is injured. That doesn't bode well going up against the fastest defense that the 'Pack has seen this season. South Florida played about as poorly as it could and still managed to pull out a few wins, underwhelming as they may have been, but wins nonetheless. It's about time for the Bulls to pull it all together and win a game in convincing fashion. The 'Pack has had a tough time taking care of Big East opponents (that's a rare statement when it comes to Big East football) going 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams from that conference. The trouble will continue on Saturday evening as Weekly Foe Matt Grothe will gut out a double digit victory.

Good Luck. Many Hundos.

No comments: