Friday, November 14, 2008

Beans' Weekly Winners: Week 12

Georgia (-9.5) at Auburn, 12:30pm
Auburn is simply not a good football team right now. They don't have a legitimate quarterback and thus cannot move the football. The Tigers have won just two of their past seven games with those two wins coming against a couple of lowly Tennessee schools, Tennessee and Tennessee-Martin (who are basically indistinguishable at this point). On the other hand, Georgia can move the ball. In recent weeks the Georgia offense has found their rhythm against every team not named Florida. New Jersey product Knowshon Moreno is averaging an impressive 5.9 yards per carry, and Matthew Stafford is having his best year as Bulldog quarterback. The Tigers haven't scored more than 22 points in an SEC game yet this season, meanwhile the Bulldogs have scored at least 24 points in five of their seven SEC games. Look for more of the same this weekend as Georgia puts Auburn one more loss closer to missing a bowl game while making Tommy Tubberville's seat that much hotter. Dawgs win by at least two touchdowns.

UCLA (-6.5) at Washington, 10:15pm
Hey, just because a game features two teams who aren't any good doesn't mean you can't at least make some money off of it. This is a good spot for the Bruins in a year mostly devoid of good spots. The Bruins aren't very good, but they have taken care of business against teams they should beat. As long as that holds true, this should be a layup. UCLA's three wins came against Tennessee, Stanford and Washington State -- teams they're supposed to beat. Their six losses all came against teams who will be going to a bowl this year -- teams they shouldn't beat. The only BCS conference team who is anywhere near as bad as Washington is their in-state counterpart Washington State. The Cougars are winless on the season and have been outscored by an embarrassing average of 26 points per game. UCLA coach Rick Neuheisel will be going against a Washington program which he led to a Pac-10 title and Rose Bowl victory for the first time. The program has been crippled since he left and now he'll be able to add further to the pain of the Cougar faithful. Washington puts up another stinker as UCLA cruises.

Troy (+16.5) at LSU, 8pm
No, that's not a typo. We're sure most of you don't even know where Troy University is -- that would be southern Alabama. LSU has been on a downswing in the past six weeks. Both Georgia and Florida hung 50 on the Bayou Bengals and although they took #1 Alabama to overtime, they still lost the game. The Weekly has constantly knocked LSU QB Jarrett Lee and rightly so. The sophomore from Brenham, Texas has been unimpressive at best. He's throw 13 touchdowns and 14 picks while only completing 53.4% of his passes. As The Weekly watches more and more football, we think it becomes more and more evident that defensive lines win and lose games. Stopping the run and creating pressure with your front four is essential in order to play winning football. The Trojans have SEC-quality talent on the defensive line. They are fifth in the country in sacks with 29, they'll get to and rattle Lee just enough to make this a game. Baton Rouge will be rockin' as always, but these Trojans are a feisty bunch. It may be a tough game, but Troy covers for us.

Oklahoma State at Colorado (+17.5), 8pm
The Weekly hates picking these late games since that means we have to sit around all day waiting and it seems like we've been taking lots of these late games in 2008, but we digress... The Cowboys are having a stellar season, but have historically had trouble winning in Boulder. More importantly, the Buffaloes have been solid at home this season. They're 5-1 at home with the lone loss coming against the mighty Longhorns from the University of Texas. Sophomore signal caller Cody Hawkins has been getting better every week and should be able to move the ball against a porous Okie State secondary. Buffs RB Rodney Stewart has been impressive in his rookie campaign and he gives Colorado another way to attack the Cowboy defense. The Oklahoma State offense may be a bit much for the Buffaloes to win this one outright, but Hawkins and Stewart will be able to give the Buffs a shot to win it in the 4th quarter.

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